Points
69Points expected by the market
62.10Gap
+6.90Yield
+1.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.67 | +18.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 38 | +7.22 | +28.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | −0.23 | −38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.75 | −33.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.67 | +18.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 21 | +6.22 | +56.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.09 | +26.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.01 | +3.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.32 | −59.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.42 | +16.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cagliari · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.67 |
| M2 | Empoli · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.18 | −2.85 |
| M3 | Juventus · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −2.69 |
| M4 | Genoa · Away15 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −3.29 |
| M5 | Udinese · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −2.23 |
| M6 | Venezia · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −1.40 |
| M7 | Monza · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −2.12 |
| M8 | Inter · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.10 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.37 |
| M10 | Torino · Home31 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −3.22 |
| M11 | Verona · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −5.07 |
| M12 | Bologna · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −6.69 |
| M13 | Napoli · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −7.49 |
| M14 | Atalanta · Home2 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −8.58 |
| M15 | Lecce · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.88 | −7.70 |
| M16 | Como · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −9.36 |
| M17 | Parma · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −8.61 |
| M18 | Milan · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −8.79 |
| M19 | Lazio · Home5 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −7.23 |
| M20 | Bologna · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | −7.56 |
| M21 | Genoa · Home17 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −6.73 |
| M22 | Udinese · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −5.20 |
| M23 | Napoli · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −5.30 |
| M24 | Venezia · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −4.11 |
| M25 | Parma · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −2.76 |
| M26 | Monza · Home24 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.58 | −2.18 |
| M27 | Como · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.91 |
| M28 | Empoli · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +0.41 |
| M29 | Cagliari · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +1.27 |
| M30 | Lecce · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.35 |
| M31 | Juventus · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.89 |
| M32 | Lazio · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.40 |
| M33 | Verona · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.34 |
| M34 | Inter · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +4.46 |
| M35 | Fiorentina · Home4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +5.57 |
| M36 | Atalanta · Away12 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.52 |
| M37 | Milan · Home18 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.94 |
| M38 | Torino · Away25 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +6.90 |
| Total | 69 | +6.90 | |||