Points
44Points expected by the market
44.53Gap
−0.53Yield
−28.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.75 | −36.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.25 | +31.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 12 | −5.03 | −62.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.97 | −62.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.36 | +24.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.61 | −4.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.22 | +93.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.89 | +38.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 5 | −4.42 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Milan · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.34 |
| M2 | Atalanta · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.24 |
| M3 | Venezia · Away30 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.67 |
| M4 | Lecce · Home15 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | +2.89 |
| M5 | Verona · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.54 |
| M6 | Lazio · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +3.30 |
| M7 | Inter · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +2.83 |
| M8 | Cagliari · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +1.64 |
| M9 | Como · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +3.25 |
| M10 | Roma · Away31 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.37 |
| M11 | Fiorentina · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +1.29 |
| M12 | Juventus · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +0.63 |
| M13 | Monza · Home24 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.04 |
| M14 | Napoli · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.83 |
| M15 | Genoa · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.03 |
| M16 | Empoli · Away13 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +0.74 |
| M17 | Bologna · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.41 |
| M18 | Udinese · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.52 |
| M19 | Parma · Home5 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −1.41 |
| M20 | Juventus · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −1.38 |
| M21 | Fiorentina · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −1.22 |
| M22 | Cagliari · Home24 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.20 |
| M23 | Atalanta · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.52 |
| M24 | Genoa · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.01 |
| M25 | Bologna · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.81 |
| M26 | Milan · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.22 |
| M27 | Monza · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.44 |
| M28 | Parma · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | +1.87 |
| M29 | Empoli · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +3.06 |
| M30 | Lazio · Away31 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +3.20 |
| M31 | Verona · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | +2.39 |
| M32 | Como · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +1.47 |
| M33 | Udinese · Home23 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.01 |
| M34 | Napoli · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.50 |
| M35 | Venezia · Home2 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +2.06 |
| M36 | Inter · Home11 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.25 |
| M37 | Lecce · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.22 |
| M38 | Roma · Home25 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.53 |
| Total | 44 | −0.53 | |||