Points
44Points expected by the market
44.75Gap
−0.75Yield
−11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −2.09 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 27 | +5.62 | +40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 8 | −4.28 | −64.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −2.09 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +3.24 | +49.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −2.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +2.38 | +33.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.40 | −43.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bologna · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.02 |
| M2 | Lazio · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.82 |
| M3 | Como · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.26 |
| M4 | Parma · Away16 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.11 |
| M5 | Roma · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +4.29 |
| M6 | Inter · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.59 | +3.70 |
| M7 | Lecce · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.28 |
| M8 | Milan · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | +4.74 |
| M9 | Cagliari · Home25 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.16 |
| M10 | Venezia · Away30 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +4.83 |
| M11 | Juventus · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.86 |
| M12 | Atalanta · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | +3.25 |
| M13 | Empoli · Away25 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.87 |
| M14 | Genoa · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.74 | +1.14 |
| M15 | Monza · Away9 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.84 |
| M16 | Napoli · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.04 |
| M17 | Fiorentina · Away23 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +4.29 |
| M18 | Torino · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | +3.73 |
| M19 | Verona · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.27 |
| M20 | Atalanta · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | +3.53 |
| M21 | Como · Away20 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.45 |
| M22 | Roma · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.21 |
| M23 | Venezia · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.34 |
| M24 | Napoli · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | +2.75 |
| M25 | Empoli · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.97 |
| M26 | Lecce · Away21 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.56 |
| M27 | Parma · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +6.77 |
| M28 | Lazio · Away10 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +6.89 |
| M29 | Verona · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | +5.01 |
| M30 | Inter · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +4.43 |
| M31 | Genoa · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.28 |
| M32 | Milan · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.33 |
| M33 | Torino · Away23 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +1.12 |
| M34 | Bologna · Home28 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | +1.28 |
| M35 | Cagliari · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +3.05 |
| M36 | Monza · Home11 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | +1.03 |
| M37 | Juventus · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | +0.48 |
| M38 | Fiorentina · Home25 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.75 |
| Total | 44 | −0.75 | |||