Points
29Points expected by the market
37.10Gap
−8.10Yield
−66.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.13 | +79.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 18 | −2.17 | −27.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 8 | −7.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.13 | +79.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +0.98 | +9.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 2 | −3.71 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.15 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 6 | −3.36 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lazio · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −0.54 |
| M2 | Fiorentina · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.17 |
| M3 | Torino · Home30 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.31 |
| M4 | Milan · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.42 | −1.74 |
| M5 | Genoa · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.03 |
| M6 | Roma · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.65 |
| M7 | Verona · Away4 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.92 |
| M8 | Atalanta · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.59 |
| M9 | Monza · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.67 |
| M10 | Udinese · Home30 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.03 |
| M11 | Inter · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.32 | −1.35 |
| M12 | Parma · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −2.92 |
| M13 | Lecce · Home25 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −4.52 |
| M14 | Bologna · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −5.42 |
| M15 | Como · Home8 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −5.75 |
| M16 | Juventus · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | −5.26 |
| M17 | Cagliari · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −3.68 |
| M18 | Napoli · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | −4.09 |
| M19 | Empoli · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −4.50 |
| M20 | Inter · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.48 | −4.99 |
| M21 | Parma · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.11 |
| M22 | Verona · Home27 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −5.66 |
| M23 | Udinese · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −6.51 |
| M24 | Roma · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −7.44 |
| M25 | Genoa · Away17 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −8.30 |
| M26 | Lazio · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −8.04 |
| M27 | Atalanta · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.66 | −7.38 |
| M28 | Como · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −7.12 |
| M29 | Napoli · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.39 | −6.73 |
| M30 | Bologna · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −7.57 |
| M31 | Lecce · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −7.74 |
| M32 | Monza · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −6.61 |
| M33 | Empoli · Away20 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −6.72 |
| M34 | Milan · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −7.52 |
| M35 | Torino · Away2 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −7.76 |
| M36 | Fiorentina · Home12 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −6.13 |
| M37 | Cagliari · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −7.47 |
| M38 | Juventus · Home25 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −8.10 |
| Total | 29 | −8.10 | |||