Points
37Points expected by the market
36.25Gap
+0.75Yield
+15.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −5.23 | −55.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 25 | +5.98 | +52.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −5.74 | −74.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +1.78 | +53.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.51 | +8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 16 | +4.20 | +52.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Napoli · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +2.19 |
| M2 | Juventus · Home26 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.30 |
| M3 | Genoa · Away1 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +3.26 |
| M4 | Lazio · Away16 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | +2.56 |
| M5 | Torino · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.23 |
| M6 | Como · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.29 |
| M7 | Venezia · Home4 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.87 |
| M8 | Monza · Home21 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | +0.35 |
| M9 | Atalanta · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.43 | −0.08 |
| M10 | Lecce · Away29 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.21 |
| M11 | Roma · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +0.92 |
| M12 | Fiorentina · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.65 | +0.27 |
| M13 | Inter · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.33 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Away29 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.32 |
| M15 | Empoli · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.72 |
| M16 | Parma · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | −0.77 |
| M17 | Milan · Home20 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.51 |
| M18 | Bologna · Away30 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.35 | +0.83 |
| M19 | Udinese · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.60 |
| M20 | Napoli · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.14 |
| M21 | Lazio · Home19 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.71 |
| M22 | Venezia · Away27 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.88 |
| M23 | Monza · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.92 |
| M24 | Atalanta · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.60 | +0.32 |
| M25 | Milan · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.51 | −0.19 |
| M26 | Fiorentina · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.77 |
| M27 | Juventus · Away3 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | +1.31 |
| M28 | Bologna · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.50 |
| M29 | Udinese · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +2.66 |
| M30 | Parma · Home31 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | +2.34 |
| M31 | Torino · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +2.45 |
| M32 | Genoa · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.14 |
| M33 | Roma · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | +1.45 |
| M34 | Cagliari · Home28 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.08 |
| M35 | Inter · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.68 |
| M36 | Lecce · Home11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.15 |
| M37 | Como · Home18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.35 |
| M38 | Empoli · Away25 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +0.75 |
| Total | 37 | +0.75 | |||