Points
59Points expected by the market
65.57Gap
−6.57Yield
−25.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 18 | −2.04 | −24.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 20 | −6.22 | −35.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.36 | −4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.33 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −0.86 | −15.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −2.23 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.27 | −5.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.99 | −27.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.09 | −3.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.33 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Pisa · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Parma · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −2.03 |
| M3 | Lecce · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.74 | −1.30 |
| M4 | Torino · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.04 |
| M5 | Juventus · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.06 |
| M6 | Como · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.53 |
| M7 | Lazio · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −1.34 |
| M8 | Cremonese · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.18 | −2.52 |
| M9 | Milan · Home28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.92 |
| M10 | Udinese · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.91 | −4.83 |
| M11 | Sassuolo · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.14 | −6.97 |
| M12 | Napoli · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −8.14 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −7.12 |
| M14 | Verona · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.97 | −9.09 |
| M15 | Cagliari · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −8.41 |
| M16 | Genoa · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −7.07 |
| M17 | Inter · Home28 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −8.17 |
| M18 | Roma · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −6.72 |
| M19 | Bologna · Away7 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −5.20 |
| M20 | Torino · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −4.25 |
| M21 | Pisa · Away16 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.08 | −5.32 |
| M22 | Parma · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.69 | −4.63 |
| M23 | Como · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.82 |
| M24 | Cremonese · Home9 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | −4.10 |
| M25 | Lazio · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.68 |
| M26 | Napoli · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.15 |
| M27 | Sassuolo · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.71 |
| M28 | Udinese · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | −3.63 |
| M29 | Inter · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | −3.32 |
| M30 | Verona · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −2.58 |
| M31 | Lecce · Away6 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −1.54 |
| M32 | Juventus · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.75 |
| M33 | Roma · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −3.00 |
| M34 | Cagliari · Away27 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.89 | −4.89 |
| M35 | Genoa · Home2 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.11 | −6.00 |
| M36 | Milan · Away10 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | −4.16 |
| M37 | Bologna · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −6.04 |
| M38 | Fiorentina · Away22 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −6.57 |
| Total | 59 | −6.57 | |||