Points
56Points expected by the market
54.21Gap
+1.79Yield
+9.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 30 | +2.62 | +16.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.13 | −14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +1.30 | +47.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −3.00 | −18.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −5.07 | −43.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.62 | +69.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.94 | +34.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +1.30 | +47.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Roma · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Como · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.58 |
| M3 | Milan · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.29 |
| M4 | Genoa · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.01 |
| M5 | Lecce · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | +0.08 |
| M6 | Pisa · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.12 |
| M7 | Cagliari · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.45 |
| M8 | Fiorentina · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +2.12 |
| M9 | Torino · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +1.24 |
| M10 | Parma · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.48 |
| M11 | Napoli · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.18 |
| M12 | Udinese · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +5.75 |
| M13 | Cremonese · Home1 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.11 | +3.64 |
| M14 | Lazio · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +3.50 |
| M15 | Juventus · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.34 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Home28 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +1.63 |
| M17 | Inter · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.06 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Home7 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.16 |
| M19 | Como · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.14 |
| M20 | Verona · Away15 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.23 |
| M21 | Fiorentina · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −0.27 |
| M22 | Genoa · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.76 |
| M23 | Milan · Home3 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.99 |
| M24 | Parma · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | −4.98 |
| M25 | Torino · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −3.43 |
| M26 | Udinese · Home23 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.22 |
| M27 | Pisa · Away2 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −1.00 |
| M28 | Verona · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | −3.02 |
| M29 | Sassuolo · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.24 |
| M30 | Lazio · Home22 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.78 |
| M31 | Cremonese · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.39 |
| M32 | Lecce · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −0.22 |
| M33 | Juventus · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.84 |
| M34 | Roma · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.94 |
| M35 | Cagliari · Home3 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −2.52 |
| M36 | Napoli · Away11 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.30 | −0.22 |
| M37 | Atalanta · Away17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +1.89 |
| M38 | Inter · Home23 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.79 |
| Total | 56 | +1.79 | |||