Points
71Points expected by the market
64.57Gap
+6.43Yield
+1.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 13 | −0.65 | −12.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 35 | +4.17 | +5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +2.74 | +8.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.16 | −12.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +0.72 | −2.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +0.77 | −3.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.21 | −8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.37 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +3.41 | +17.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.95 | +25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.16 | −12.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lazio · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.50 |
| M2 | Bologna · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.15 |
| M3 | Genoa · Home15 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −0.79 |
| M4 | Fiorentina · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.89 |
| M5 | Cremonese · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.22 | −0.33 |
| M6 | Atalanta · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.46 |
| M7 | Juventus · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.35 |
| M8 | Parma · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.61 |
| M9 | Verona · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +1.55 |
| M10 | Napoli · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | +1.61 |
| M11 | Cagliari · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.08 | +0.53 |
| M12 | Torino · Away24 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.95 |
| M13 | Sassuolo · Home28 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.10 |
| M14 | Inter · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.39 |
| M15 | Roma · Away15 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.29 |
| M16 | Lecce · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.46 |
| M17 | Udinese · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.59 |
| M18 | Pisa · Away6 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.71 |
| M19 | Bologna · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +3.97 |
| M20 | Milan · Home15 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.76 |
| M21 | Lazio · Away19 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.32 |
| M22 | Torino · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +5.23 |
| M23 | Atalanta · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +4.71 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +2.78 |
| M25 | Milan · Away18 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.55 |
| M26 | Juventus · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +4.46 |
| M27 | Lecce · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +5.22 |
| M28 | Cagliari · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +6.11 |
| M29 | Roma · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +7.44 |
| M30 | Pisa · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +8.08 |
| M31 | Udinese · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | +7.10 |
| M32 | Inter · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.22 | +5.88 |
| M33 | Sassuolo · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.12 | +3.76 |
| M34 | Genoa · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +4.75 |
| M35 | Napoli · Home2 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +4.18 |
| M36 | Verona · Away10 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +4.93 |
| M37 | Parma · Home17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +5.48 |
| M38 | Cremonese · Away24 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.43 |
| Total | 71 | +6.43 | |||