Points
34Points expected by the market
35.42Gap
−1.42Yield
−10.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.21 | +84.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −0.74 | −37.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 15 | −1.89 | +0.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.21 | +84.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.08 | −49.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 1 | −4.36 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.34 | +0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 14 | +2.48 | +51.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Milan · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.50 | +2.50 |
| M2 | Sassuolo · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.16 |
| M3 | Verona · Away15 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +3.86 |
| M4 | Parma · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +3.59 |
| M5 | Como · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.43 | +4.02 |
| M6 | Inter · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.30 | +3.72 |
| M7 | Udinese · Home20 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +3.52 |
| M8 | Atalanta · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | +3.90 |
| M9 | Genoa · Away29 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | +6.08 |
| M10 | Juventus · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +5.42 |
| M11 | Pisa · Away7 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +4.29 |
| M12 | Roma · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +3.49 |
| M13 | Bologna · Away1 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.34 | +5.83 |
| M14 | Lecce · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +7.32 |
| M15 | Torino · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | +6.30 |
| M16 | Lazio · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | +6.62 |
| M17 | Napoli · Home28 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +5.94 |
| M18 | Fiorentina · Away4 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +5.09 |
| M19 | Cagliari · Home8 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | +4.61 |
| M20 | Juventus · Away12 Jan 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.41 | +4.20 |
| M21 | Verona · Home19 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.71 |
| M22 | Sassuolo · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.71 |
| M23 | Inter · Home1 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.39 | +2.31 |
| M24 | Atalanta · Away9 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +1.79 |
| M25 | Genoa · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.61 |
| M26 | Roma · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +1.15 |
| M27 | Milan · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.61 |
| M28 | Lecce · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.51 |
| M29 | Fiorentina · Home16 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.47 |
| M30 | Parma · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.42 |
| M31 | Bologna · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.68 |
| M32 | Cagliari · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.70 |
| M33 | Torino · Home19 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.00 |
| M34 | Napoli · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −2.48 |
| M35 | Lazio · Home4 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.68 |
| M36 | Pisa · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.47 |
| M37 | Udinese · Away17 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.70 |
| M38 | Como · Home24 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.42 |
| Total | 34 | −1.42 | |||