Points
42Points expected by the market
51.90Gap
−9.90Yield
−26.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 21 | −5.60 | −37.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −4.44 | −58.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 8 | +0.15 | +33.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 13 | −5.29 | −46.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.83 | −61.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.31 | −21.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.61 | −56.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.94 | +90.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cagliari · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.48 |
| M2 | Torino · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.97 |
| M3 | Napoli · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.96 |
| M4 | Como · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.36 |
| M5 | Pisa · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | −3.96 |
| M6 | Roma · Home5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −5.19 |
| M7 | Milan · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −5.99 |
| M8 | Bologna · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −6.34 |
| M9 | Inter · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −6.86 |
| M10 | Lecce · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.94 | −8.81 |
| M11 | Genoa · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −9.17 |
| M12 | Juventus · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −9.20 |
| M13 | Atalanta · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −9.97 |
| M14 | Sassuolo · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −11.35 |
| M15 | Verona · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −13.08 |
| M16 | Udinese · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −11.74 |
| M17 | Parma · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −13.38 |
| M18 | Cremonese · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −12.28 |
| M19 | Lazio · Away7 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −12.45 |
| M20 | Milan · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −12.59 |
| M21 | Bologna · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −10.81 |
| M22 | Cagliari · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −12.66 |
| M23 | Napoli · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −13.61 |
| M24 | Torino · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | −14.53 |
| M25 | Como · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −12.36 |
| M26 | Pisa · Home23 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −11.36 |
| M27 | Udinese · Away2 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −12.88 |
| M28 | Parma · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −13.78 |
| M29 | Cremonese · Away16 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.23 | −12.55 |
| M30 | Inter · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −12.32 |
| M31 | Verona · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −11.00 |
| M32 | Lazio · Home13 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −9.51 |
| M33 | Lecce · Away20 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −10.15 |
| M34 | Sassuolo · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −10.82 |
| M35 | Roma · Away4 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −11.51 |
| M36 | Genoa · Home10 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −12.20 |
| M37 | Juventus · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.50 | −9.70 |
| M38 | Atalanta · Home22 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −9.90 |
| Total | 42 | −9.90 | |||