Points
87Points expected by the market
79.56Gap
+7.44Yield
+5.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 23 | 60 | +6.52 | +8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.24 | +5.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.33 | −21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 35 | +1.88 | −0.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.61 | +2.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 25 | +4.64 | +21.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.64 | +8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.33 | −21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torino · Home25 Aug 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +0.71 |
| M2 | Udinese · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.40 | −1.68 |
| M3 | Juventus · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.03 |
| M4 | Sassuolo · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | −2.38 |
| M5 | Cagliari · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −1.49 |
| M6 | Cremonese · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.43 | −1.06 |
| M7 | Roma · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.33 |
| M8 | Napoli · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.26 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −0.55 |
| M10 | Verona · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.18 |
| M11 | Lazio · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +0.82 |
| M12 | Milan · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.85 |
| M13 | Pisa · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −0.30 |
| M14 | Como · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.64 |
| M15 | Genoa · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +1.49 |
| M16 | Atalanta · Away28 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.86 |
| M17 | Bologna · Home4 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +3.63 |
| M18 | Parma · Away7 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +4.30 |
| M19 | Napoli · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | +3.38 |
| M20 | Lecce · Home14 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +3.81 |
| M21 | Udinese · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.66 |
| M22 | Pisa · Home23 Jan 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.60 | +5.26 |
| M23 | Cremonese · Away1 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +5.81 |
| M24 | Sassuolo · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +6.62 |
| M25 | Juventus · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +7.93 |
| M26 | Lecce · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +8.79 |
| M27 | Genoa · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +9.43 |
| M28 | Milan · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +7.94 |
| M29 | Atalanta · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +6.84 |
| M30 | Fiorentina · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +5.84 |
| M31 | Roma · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.96 | +6.80 |
| M32 | Como · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.51 | +8.31 |
| M33 | Cagliari · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +8.85 |
| M34 | Torino · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.23 | +7.62 |
| M35 | Parma · Home3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +8.12 |
| M36 | Lazio · Away9 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +9.33 |
| M37 | Verona · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | +8.07 |
| M38 | Bologna · Away23 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.64 | +7.44 |
| Total | 87 | +7.44 | |||