Points
69Points expected by the market
73.60Gap
−4.60Yield
−17.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 18 | 39 | −2.23 | −16.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.64 | −10.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.71 | −18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 26 | −4.33 | −28.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.13 | −2.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.32 | +37.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 13 | +2.10 | +14.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | −0.77 | −16.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −2.02 | −35.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Parma · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +0.78 |
| M2 | Genoa · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.94 |
| M3 | Inter · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.60 |
| M4 | Verona · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +2.50 |
| M5 | Atalanta · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | +1.76 |
| M6 | Milan · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.42 |
| M7 | Como · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.10 |
| M8 | Lazio · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −1.68 |
| M9 | Udinese · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −0.86 |
| M10 | Cremonese · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.02 |
| M11 | Torino · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.12 | −1.11 |
| M12 | Fiorentina · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.79 |
| M13 | Cagliari · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.52 | −1.26 |
| M14 | Napoli · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.50 |
| M15 | Bologna · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.04 |
| M16 | Roma · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.24 |
| M17 | Pisa · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +1.08 |
| M18 | Lecce · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.46 | −0.38 |
| M19 | Sassuolo · Away6 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +0.66 |
| M20 | Cremonese · Home12 Jan 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +1.23 |
| M21 | Cagliari · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.11 | −0.88 |
| M22 | Napoli · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.34 |
| M23 | Parma · Away1 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +1.09 |
| M24 | Lazio · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.24 | −0.16 |
| M25 | Inter · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.18 |
| M26 | Como · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −2.81 |
| M27 | Roma · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.11 |
| M28 | Pisa · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.49 | −2.62 |
| M29 | Udinese · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.70 |
| M30 | Sassuolo · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | −3.08 |
| M31 | Genoa · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −2.34 |
| M32 | Atalanta · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.85 |
| M33 | Bologna · Home19 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.02 |
| M34 | Milan · Away26 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.37 |
| M35 | Verona · Home3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.54 | −1.91 |
| M36 | Lecce · Away9 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −1.14 |
| M37 | Fiorentina · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.33 | −3.47 |
| M38 | Torino · Away24 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.13 | −4.60 |
| Total | 69 | −4.60 | |||