Points
54Points expected by the market
52.06Gap
+1.94Yield
+1.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | −0.22 | −20.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 26 | +1.12 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +1.04 | +25.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +1.58 | −5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.60 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.09 | +48.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.80 | −48.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.72 | +17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.96 | +14.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Como · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Verona · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −0.29 |
| M3 | Sassuolo · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.05 |
| M4 | Roma · Home21 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −3.38 |
| M5 | Genoa · Away29 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.75 |
| M6 | Torino · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.71 | −2.46 |
| M7 | Atalanta · Away19 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.39 |
| M8 | Juventus · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.51 |
| M9 | Pisa · Away30 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −1.16 |
| M10 | Cagliari · Home3 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.16 |
| M11 | Inter · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −0.63 |
| M12 | Lecce · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.50 |
| M13 | Milan · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.28 |
| M14 | Bologna · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.82 |
| M15 | Parma · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.52 |
| M16 | Cremonese · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.08 | −0.56 |
| M17 | Udinese · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.02 |
| M18 | Napoli · Home4 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.08 |
| M19 | Fiorentina · Home7 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.60 |
| M20 | Verona · Away11 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.14 |
| M21 | Como · Home19 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −2.38 |
| M22 | Lecce · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −3.11 |
| M23 | Genoa · Home30 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.71 |
| M24 | Juventus · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.46 | −1.25 |
| M25 | Atalanta · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.38 |
| M26 | Cagliari · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | −2.89 |
| M27 | Torino · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.22 |
| M28 | Sassuolo · Home9 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.79 |
| M29 | Milan · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | −0.70 |
| M30 | Bologna · Away22 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.14 |
| M31 | Parma · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.37 |
| M32 | Fiorentina · Away13 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.81 |
| M33 | Napoli · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.35 | +1.54 |
| M34 | Udinese · Home27 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.56 | +0.98 |
| M35 | Cremonese · Away4 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.49 |
| M36 | Inter · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.54 |
| M37 | Roma · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.86 |
| M38 | Pisa · Home23 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.94 |
| Total | 54 | +1.94 | |||