Points
38Points expected by the market
36.62Gap
+1.38Yield
−18.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.24 | +91.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 24 | +6.68 | +48.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 11 | −6.53 | −59.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.24 | +91.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.03 | +33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 3 | −4.93 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +3.64 | +72.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −1.60 | −30.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Genoa · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.19 |
| M2 | Milan · Home29 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.50 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Away14 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −1.03 |
| M4 | Cagliari · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.35 |
| M5 | Bologna · Home28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.15 |
| M6 | Parma · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −0.09 |
| M7 | Sassuolo · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.40 |
| M8 | Udinese · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.35 |
| M9 | Napoli · Home28 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.08 |
| M10 | Fiorentina · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +0.13 |
| M11 | Verona · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.24 |
| M12 | Lazio · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.06 |
| M13 | Torino · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.68 |
| M14 | Cremonese · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.49 |
| M15 | Pisa · Home12 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.03 |
| M16 | Como · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.14 |
| M17 | Juventus · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.77 |
| M18 | Roma · Home6 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.07 |
| M19 | Parma · Home11 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.42 |
| M20 | Inter · Away14 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | −1.72 |
| M21 | Milan · Away18 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.15 |
| M22 | Lazio · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.10 |
| M23 | Torino · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.12 |
| M24 | Udinese · Home8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −1.45 |
| M25 | Cagliari · Away16 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.41 |
| M26 | Inter · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.22 |
| M27 | Como · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −0.76 |
| M28 | Cremonese · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.69 |
| M29 | Napoli · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.58 | +0.11 |
| M30 | Roma · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | −0.51 |
| M31 | Atalanta · Home6 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.30 |
| M32 | Bologna · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.19 |
| M33 | Fiorentina · Home20 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.26 |
| M34 | Verona · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −2.50 |
| M35 | Pisa · Away1 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −1.00 |
| M36 | Juventus · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −1.56 |
| M37 | Sassuolo · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.14 |
| M38 | Genoa · Home24 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.38 |
| Total | 38 | +1.38 | |||