Points
70Points expected by the market
70.30Gap
−0.30Yield
−0.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 15 | −9.99 | −51.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 34 | +6.47 | +29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +1.24 | −14.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.98 | +289.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 12 | −10.73 | −60.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 12 | +4.47 | +75.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +0.91 | +9.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.74 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 22 | +2.00 | +11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.33 | −31.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.98 | +289.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cremonese · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.31 | −2.31 |
| M2 | Lecce · Away29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −1.37 |
| M3 | Bologna · Home14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −0.24 |
| M4 | Udinese · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.79 |
| M5 | Napoli · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.03 |
| M6 | Juventus · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.69 |
| M7 | Fiorentina · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.75 |
| M8 | Pisa · Home24 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.34 | +1.40 |
| M9 | Atalanta · Away28 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.10 |
| M10 | Roma · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +2.57 |
| M11 | Parma · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.12 | +1.45 |
| M12 | Inter · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +3.42 |
| M13 | Lazio · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +4.46 |
| M14 | Torino · Away8 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | +5.49 |
| M15 | Sassuolo · Home14 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.14 | +4.35 |
| M16 | Verona · Home28 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +5.08 |
| M17 | Cagliari · Away2 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.03 |
| M18 | Genoa · Home8 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.17 | +4.86 |
| M19 | Fiorentina · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +4.29 |
| M20 | Como · Away15 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +5.80 |
| M21 | Lecce · Home18 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +6.42 |
| M22 | Roma · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +6.12 |
| M23 | Bologna · Away3 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +7.65 |
| M24 | Pisa · Away13 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +8.58 |
| M25 | Como · Home18 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +8.13 |
| M26 | Parma · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.35 | +5.78 |
| M27 | Cremonese · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +6.52 |
| M28 | Inter · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +8.32 |
| M29 | Lazio · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +6.49 |
| M30 | Torino · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.71 | +7.20 |
| M31 | Napoli · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +6.00 |
| M32 | Udinese · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.20 | +3.80 |
| M33 | Verona · Away19 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +4.72 |
| M34 | Juventus · Home26 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +4.36 |
| M35 | Sassuolo · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +2.45 |
| M36 | Atalanta · Home10 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.90 |
| M37 | Genoa · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.98 |
| M38 | Cagliari · Home24 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.27 | −0.30 |
| Total | 70 | −0.30 | |||