Points
76Points expected by the market
67.81Gap
+8.19Yield
+12.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +2.55 | +8.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 35 | +2.36 | +13.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +4.97 | +53.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 20 | +1.76 | +4.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −1.87 | −17.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 13 | +5.97 | +115.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 25 | +4.23 | +30.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.00 | −24.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sassuolo · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +1.00 |
| M2 | Cagliari · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +1.77 |
| M3 | Fiorentina · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.05 |
| M4 | Pisa · Home22 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.63 | +3.68 |
| M5 | Milan · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +2.72 |
| M6 | Genoa · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +3.54 |
| M7 | Torino · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | +1.68 |
| M8 | Inter · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +3.57 |
| M9 | Lecce · Away28 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +4.55 |
| M10 | Como · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | +3.78 |
| M11 | Bologna · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.40 |
| M12 | Atalanta · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.87 |
| M13 | Roma · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +5.60 |
| M14 | Juventus · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +7.17 |
| M15 | Udinese · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +5.37 |
| M16 | Cremonese · Away28 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.31 |
| M17 | Lazio · Away4 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +7.69 |
| M18 | Verona · Home7 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.36 | +6.33 |
| M19 | Inter · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | +6.53 |
| M20 | Parma · Home14 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.37 | +5.15 |
| M21 | Sassuolo · Home17 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +5.96 |
| M22 | Juventus · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +5.04 |
| M23 | Fiorentina · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +6.28 |
| M24 | Genoa · Away7 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +7.59 |
| M25 | Roma · Home15 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +7.11 |
| M26 | Atalanta · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +5.90 |
| M27 | Verona · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +6.89 |
| M28 | Torino · Home6 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +7.81 |
| M29 | Lecce · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.80 | +8.61 |
| M30 | Cagliari · Away20 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +9.68 |
| M31 | Milan · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +11.20 |
| M32 | Parma · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | +10.13 |
| M33 | Lazio · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.11 | +8.02 |
| M34 | Cremonese · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.67 | +8.69 |
| M35 | Como · Away2 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +8.55 |
| M36 | Bologna · Home11 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.07 | +6.48 |
| M37 | Pisa · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +7.27 |
| M38 | Udinese · Home24 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +8.19 |
| Total | 76 | +8.19 | |||