Points
73Points expected by the market
65.63Gap
+7.37Yield
+4.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 27 | +7.01 | +40.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 33 | +4.71 | +30.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −0.53 | −26.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 21 | +5.57 | +42.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 15 | +3.08 | +40.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −1.23 | −56.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.44 | +35.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.63 | +23.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.71 | +3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.73 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bologna · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +1.37 |
| M2 | Pisa · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.44 |
| M3 | Torino · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.11 | +0.34 |
| M4 | Lazio · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.98 |
| M5 | Verona · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +2.76 |
| M6 | Fiorentina · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +4.30 |
| M7 | Inter · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.20 |
| M8 | Sassuolo · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.42 |
| M9 | Parma · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | +5.24 |
| M10 | Milan · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +4.09 |
| M11 | Udinese · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +4.99 |
| M12 | Cremonese · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.05 |
| M13 | Napoli · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | +4.67 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | +2.68 |
| M15 | Como · Home15 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.09 |
| M16 | Juventus · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +3.11 |
| M17 | Genoa · Home29 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +4.07 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.92 |
| M19 | Lecce · Away6 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.04 |
| M20 | Sassuolo · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +5.09 |
| M21 | Torino · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.32 |
| M22 | Milan · Home25 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +5.93 |
| M23 | Udinese · Away2 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | +4.19 |
| M24 | Cagliari · Home9 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +5.03 |
| M25 | Napoli · Away15 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +4.84 |
| M26 | Cremonese · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +5.49 |
| M27 | Juventus · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.40 | +5.09 |
| M28 | Genoa · Away8 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +3.37 |
| M29 | Como · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.34 |
| M30 | Lecce · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +3.20 |
| M31 | Inter · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.48 |
| M32 | Pisa · Home10 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +3.21 |
| M33 | Atalanta · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +2.73 |
| M34 | Bologna · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.12 |
| M35 | Fiorentina · Home4 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +5.03 |
| M36 | Parma · Away10 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.75 | +5.79 |
| M37 | Lazio · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +6.69 |
| M38 | Verona · Away24 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +7.37 |
| Total | 73 | +7.37 | |||