Points
50Points expected by the market
43.19Gap
+6.81Yield
+50.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.26 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.52 | +2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 23 | +8.59 | +115.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.26 | −34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −4.03 | −46.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 10 | +4.41 | +95.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.51 | +38.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 13 | +4.18 | +128.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Verona · Home25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.76 |
| M2 | Inter · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.56 | +1.80 |
| M3 | Pisa · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.43 |
| M4 | Milan · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | +2.63 |
| M5 | Sassuolo · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.44 |
| M6 | Cagliari · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.80 |
| M7 | Cremonese · Away20 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +0.31 |
| M8 | Lecce · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.57 |
| M9 | Juventus · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.96 |
| M10 | Atalanta · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +3.12 |
| M11 | Roma · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +2.46 |
| M12 | Bologna · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.20 |
| M13 | Parma · Away29 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +2.87 |
| M14 | Genoa · Home8 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.38 |
| M15 | Napoli · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.46 |
| M16 | Fiorentina · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.41 |
| M17 | Lazio · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.20 |
| M18 | Como · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +1.34 |
| M19 | Torino · Away7 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +3.25 |
| M20 | Pisa · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.78 | +2.46 |
| M21 | Inter · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | +1.84 |
| M22 | Verona · Away26 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.46 |
| M23 | Roma · Home2 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +5.51 |
| M24 | Lecce · Away8 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +4.18 |
| M25 | Sassuolo · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +2.76 |
| M26 | Bologna · Away23 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.83 |
| M27 | Fiorentina · Home2 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +3.65 |
| M28 | Atalanta · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | +3.84 |
| M29 | Juventus · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | +3.15 |
| M30 | Genoa · Away20 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +5.07 |
| M31 | Como · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | +5.30 |
| M32 | Milan · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.41 | +7.71 |
| M33 | Parma · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +6.09 |
| M34 | Lazio · Away27 Apr 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.13 | +5.95 |
| M35 | Torino · Home2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.25 |
| M36 | Cagliari · Away9 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +8.99 |
| M37 | Cremonese · Home17 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +7.51 |
| M38 | Napoli · Away24 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | +6.81 |
| Total | 50 | +6.81 | |||