Points
21Points expected by the market
36.26Gap
−15.26Yield
−59.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.35 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 6 | −7.41 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 14 | −5.51 | −40.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.35 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 3 | −6.63 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −3.62 | −45.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.78 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 10 | −1.89 | −36.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Udinese · Away25 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.06 |
| M2 | Lazio · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −0.63 |
| M3 | Cremonese · Home15 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.02 |
| M4 | Juventus · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | −0.68 |
| M5 | Roma · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −1.24 |
| M6 | Sassuolo · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.75 |
| M7 | Pisa · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.04 |
| M8 | Cagliari · Home26 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | −3.79 |
| M9 | Como · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −4.47 |
| M10 | Inter · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −5.00 |
| M11 | Lecce · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −5.29 |
| M12 | Parma · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.90 |
| M13 | Genoa · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −7.85 |
| M14 | Atalanta · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −5.62 |
| M15 | Fiorentina · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −3.60 |
| M16 | Milan · Away28 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −4.13 |
| M17 | Torino · Home4 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −5.52 |
| M18 | Napoli · Away7 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.55 | −4.97 |
| M19 | Lazio · Home11 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.10 |
| M20 | Bologna · Home15 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −7.17 |
| M21 | Cremonese · Away19 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −7.37 |
| M22 | Udinese · Home26 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.66 |
| M23 | Cagliari · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −9.73 |
| M24 | Pisa · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −10.17 |
| M25 | Parma · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −11.27 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −12.10 |
| M27 | Napoli · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −12.82 |
| M28 | Bologna · Away8 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.28 | −10.55 |
| M29 | Genoa · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −11.71 |
| M30 | Atalanta · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.53 | −12.25 |
| M31 | Fiorentina · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −13.27 |
| M32 | Torino · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −14.23 |
| M33 | Milan · Home19 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −14.91 |
| M34 | Lecce · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −15.36 |
| M35 | Juventus · Away3 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.68 | −14.68 |
| M36 | Como · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.54 | −15.22 |
| M37 | Inter · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | −14.77 |
| M38 | Roma · Home24 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −15.26 |
| Total | 21 | −15.26 | |||