Points
50Points expected by the market
54.07Gap
−4.07Yield
−24.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.43 | −40.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 33 | +1.42 | −1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −2.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 11 | −4.84 | −58.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.65 | −48.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +116.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +5.07 | +28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.97 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Empoli · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.60 |
| M2 | Venezia · Away3 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.02 |
| M3 | Ascoli · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.21 |
| M4 | Virtus Entella · Home20 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.45 |
| M5 | Pescara · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.89 |
| M6 | Cremonese · Home1 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.11 |
| M7 | Monza · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +2.05 |
| M8 | Cosenza · Home20 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.96 | +0.09 |
| M9 | Brescia · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.63 |
| M10 | Chievo · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.12 |
| M11 | Lecce · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +3.20 |
| M12 | Reggiana · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.61 |
| M13 | Salernitana · Home18 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | +3.94 |
| M14 | Cittadella · Away22 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.74 |
| M15 | Pordenone · Home27 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +2.65 |
| M16 | Spal · Home4 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.44 |
| M17 | Vicenza · Away15 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.20 |
| M18 | Reggina · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.67 |
| M19 | Empoli · Away30 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.22 |
| M20 | Pisa · Away2 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.62 |
| M21 | Venezia · Home6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.97 |
| M22 | Ascoli · Away9 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.37 |
| M23 | Virtus Entella · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.88 |
| M24 | Pescara · Home19 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.66 |
| M25 | Cremonese · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.79 |
| M26 | Monza · Home2 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −2.98 |
| M27 | Cosenza · Away6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.44 |
| M28 | Brescia · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −3.04 |
| M29 | Chievo · Away16 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.13 |
| M30 | Lecce · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.44 |
| M31 | Reggiana · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −5.35 |
| M32 | Salernitana · Away5 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −6.66 |
| M33 | Cittadella · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −7.07 |
| M34 | Pordenone · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −8.41 |
| M35 | Pisa · Home1 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −6.97 |
| M36 | Spal · Away4 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −5.23 |
| M37 | Vicenza · Home7 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.84 |
| M38 | Reggina · Away10 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −4.07 |
| Total | 50 | −4.07 | |||