Points
62Points expected by the market
62.84Gap
−0.84Yield
−11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.71 | +45.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 34 | −5.64 | −30.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +4.13 | +20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.71 | +45.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 16 | −10.19 | −63.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.71 | −24.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 18 | +4.55 | +26.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +3.42 | +33.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Pordenone · Home26 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.73 |
| M2 | Ascoli · Away3 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.75 |
| M3 | Brescia · Away16 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.55 |
| M4 | Cremonese · Home21 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.23 |
| M5 | Cosenza · Away25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.81 |
| M6 | Pescara · Home2 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −0.97 |
| M7 | Virtus Entella · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.36 |
| M8 | Reggiana · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +1.22 |
| M9 | Chievo · Away27 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.77 |
| M10 | Venezia · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +2.04 |
| M11 | Frosinone · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +1.22 |
| M12 | Salernitana · Away15 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +0.48 |
| M13 | Pisa · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.08 | −1.60 |
| M14 | Spal · Away22 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.09 |
| M15 | Vicenza · Home27 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | −2.10 |
| M16 | Cittadella · Away30 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −2.41 |
| M17 | Monza · Home4 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.79 |
| M18 | Reggina · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.38 |
| M19 | Empoli · Home24 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.75 |
| M20 | Pordenone · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.15 |
| M21 | Ascoli · Home5 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −4.08 |
| M22 | Brescia · Home9 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −4.89 |
| M23 | Cremonese · Away13 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −3.01 |
| M24 | Cosenza · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.85 |
| M25 | Pescara · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.57 |
| M26 | Virtus Entella · Home2 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.06 | −3.63 |
| M27 | Reggiana · Away7 Mar 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −2.42 |
| M28 | Chievo · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.96 |
| M29 | Venezia · Away16 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.66 |
| M30 | Frosinone · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.28 |
| M31 | Salernitana · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +3.37 |
| M32 | Pisa · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.66 |
| M33 | Spal · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +2.82 |
| M34 | Vicenza · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.19 |
| M35 | Cittadella · Home1 May 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.83 | +2.36 |
| M36 | Monza · Away4 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.13 |
| M37 | Reggina · Home7 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | +0.20 |
| M38 | Empoli · Away10 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.84 |
| Total | 62 | −0.84 | |||