Points
65Points expected by the market
52.61Gap
+12.39Yield
+20.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −1.76 | −29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 45 | +11.90 | +35.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.24 | +28.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −1.76 | −29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +2.04 | −10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 27 | +9.86 | +74.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.24 | +28.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Parma · Away12 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 |
| M2 | Palermo · Home19 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.64 |
| M3 | Perugia · Away28 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.15 |
| M4 | Spal · Home3 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +0.53 |
| M5 | Cosenza · Away10 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.03 |
| M6 | Cagliari · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +4.07 |
| M7 | Brescia · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.67 |
| M8 | Venezia · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +7.53 |
| M9 | Ascoli · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +5.75 |
| M10 | Frosinone · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | +4.71 |
| M11 | Ternana · Home28 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +4.19 |
| M12 | Benevento · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +3.80 |
| M13 | Sudtirol · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.09 |
| M14 | Como · Away27 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.69 |
| M15 | Pisa · Home4 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +2.13 |
| M16 | Cittadella · Away8 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.90 |
| M17 | Modena · Home11 Dec 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +5.20 |
| M18 | Reggina · Away17 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +5.17 |
| M19 | Genoa · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +3.91 |
| M20 | Parma · Home14 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +5.50 |
| M21 | Palermo · Away20 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +4.12 |
| M22 | Perugia · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | +2.50 |
| M23 | Spal · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.97 |
| M24 | Cosenza · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.97 |
| M25 | Cagliari · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +4.47 |
| M26 | Brescia · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +6.09 |
| M27 | Venezia · Home1 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +7.60 |
| M28 | Ascoli · Away5 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +9.34 |
| M29 | Frosinone · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +9.10 |
| M30 | Ternana · Away19 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +7.87 |
| M31 | Benevento · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +9.17 |
| M32 | Sudtirol · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +10.79 |
| M33 | Como · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +10.28 |
| M34 | Pisa · Away23 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +12.20 |
| M35 | Cittadella · Home1 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +11.65 |
| M36 | Modena · Away6 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +11.53 |
| M37 | Reggina · Home13 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +13.02 |
| M38 | Genoa · Away19 May 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.63 | +12.39 |
| Total | 65 | +12.39 | |||