Points
49Points expected by the market
48.83Gap
+0.17Yield
−15.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.20 | −44.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 29 | +3.89 | +6.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | −1.52 | −34.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.20 | −44.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +5.68 | +55.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.11 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −1.78 | −61.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | −1.41 | −28.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Perugia · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Bari · Away19 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.44 |
| M3 | Ascoli · Home27 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −0.09 |
| M4 | Reggina · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.17 |
| M5 | Genoa · Home9 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.70 |
| M6 | Frosinone · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.18 |
| M7 | Sudtirol · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.93 |
| M8 | Ternana · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.10 |
| M9 | Pisa · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.58 |
| M10 | Cittadella · Home23 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.07 |
| M11 | Modena · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −2.12 |
| M12 | Parma · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −0.49 |
| M13 | Cosenza · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.93 |
| M14 | Venezia · Home27 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −3.45 |
| M15 | Benevento · Away4 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −1.40 |
| M16 | Como · Home8 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.87 |
| M17 | Spal · Away11 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −2.10 |
| M18 | Cagliari · Home18 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.33 |
| M19 | Brescia · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.46 |
| M20 | Perugia · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.60 |
| M21 | Bari · Home20 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.10 |
| M22 | Ascoli · Away29 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.89 |
| M23 | Reggina · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.57 |
| M24 | Genoa · Away10 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.77 |
| M25 | Frosinone · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +3.66 |
| M26 | Sudtirol · Away25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.40 |
| M27 | Ternana · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +2.82 |
| M28 | Pisa · Away4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +2.86 |
| M29 | Cittadella · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.65 |
| M30 | Modena · Home17 Mar 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.06 |
| M31 | Parma · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.25 |
| M32 | Cosenza · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +2.43 |
| M33 | Venezia · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.37 |
| M34 | Benevento · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +0.62 |
| M35 | Como · Away1 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.65 |
| M36 | Spal · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.77 |
| M37 | Cagliari · Away13 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.98 |
| M38 | Brescia · Home19 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | +0.17 |
| Total | 49 | +0.17 | |||