Points
61Points expected by the market
58.86Gap
+2.14Yield
+4.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 23 | −5.43 | −15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 31 | +4.74 | +9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.01 | +85.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 20 | −4.98 | −17.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 12 | +6.33 | +154.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.46 | −2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −1.59 | −28.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.01 | +85.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bari · Home12 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.70 |
| M2 | Perugia · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.11 |
| M3 | Cosenza · Home28 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −0.29 |
| M4 | Genoa · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.21 |
| M5 | Ternana · Home10 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.93 | −2.14 |
| M6 | Ascoli · Away17 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −0.61 |
| M7 | Frosinone · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.90 |
| M8 | Pisa · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.58 |
| M9 | Reggina · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +2.14 |
| M10 | Sudtirol · Away22 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.68 |
| M11 | Como · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.90 |
| M12 | Palermo · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.57 |
| M13 | Cittadella · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.96 |
| M14 | Modena · Home26 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | +0.04 |
| M15 | Cagliari · Away3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.24 |
| M16 | Benevento · Home8 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.97 |
| M17 | Brescia · Away12 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −0.37 |
| M18 | Spal · Home18 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.94 | −2.31 |
| M19 | Venezia · Away26 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −2.75 |
| M20 | Bari · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −4.02 |
| M21 | Perugia · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.79 |
| M22 | Cosenza · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.53 |
| M23 | Genoa · Home5 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.79 |
| M24 | Ternana · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −3.26 |
| M25 | Ascoli · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −5.05 |
| M26 | Frosinone · Away24 Feb 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.93 | −3.11 |
| M27 | Pisa · Home28 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −4.79 |
| M28 | Reggina · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −2.98 |
| M29 | Sudtirol · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.77 |
| M30 | Como · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −5.08 |
| M31 | Palermo · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −4.02 |
| M32 | Cittadella · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.49 |
| M33 | Modena · Away14 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −2.83 |
| M34 | Cagliari · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.30 |
| M35 | Benevento · Away1 May 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.75 |
| M36 | Brescia · Home7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.54 |
| M37 | Spal · Away13 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +0.74 |
| M38 | Venezia · Home19 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.14 |
| Total | 61 | +2.14 | |||