Points
47Points expected by the market
53.70Gap
−6.70Yield
−27.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.97 | −31.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 27 | −3.46 | −33.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +1.91 | +6.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.97 | −31.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +1.48 | +2.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −4.94 | −57.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 9 | +2.87 | +24.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cittadella · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.07 |
| M2 | Como · Home21 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −1.78 |
| M3 | Genoa · Home28 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.74 |
| M4 | Sudtirol · Away4 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −4.20 |
| M5 | Reggina · Home10 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −5.87 |
| M6 | Venezia · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −6.14 |
| M7 | Perugia · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −4.29 |
| M8 | Parma · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.67 |
| M9 | Palermo · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.21 | −4.88 |
| M10 | Modena · Home23 Oct 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.43 |
| M11 | Benevento · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.65 |
| M12 | Cosenza · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | −2.66 |
| M13 | Cagliari · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −2.74 |
| M14 | Ternana · Home26 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.21 |
| M15 | Bari · Away4 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.35 |
| M16 | Ascoli · Home8 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.01 |
| M17 | Frosinone · Away11 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.06 |
| M18 | Brescia · Home17 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.48 |
| M19 | Spal · Away26 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.89 |
| M20 | Cittadella · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.32 |
| M21 | Como · Away21 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.99 |
| M22 | Genoa · Away28 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.07 |
| M23 | Sudtirol · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −0.67 |
| M24 | Reggina · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.22 |
| M25 | Venezia · Home17 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.70 |
| M26 | Perugia · Home24 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.18 |
| M27 | Parma · Away28 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +4.15 |
| M28 | Palermo · Home4 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +3.40 |
| M29 | Modena · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +2.09 |
| M30 | Benevento · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.27 |
| M31 | Cosenza · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.76 |
| M32 | Cagliari · Home10 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | +1.34 |
| M33 | Ternana · Away16 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.08 |
| M34 | Bari · Home23 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.53 |
| M35 | Ascoli · Away1 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.80 |
| M36 | Frosinone · Home6 May 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.31 |
| M37 | Brescia · Away13 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −4.52 |
| M38 | Spal · Home19 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.18 | −6.70 |
| Total | 47 | −6.70 | |||