Points
38Points expected by the market
42.79Gap
−4.79Yield
−16.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.49 | −3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −3.26 | −51.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 16 | −1.03 | +14.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.49 | −3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −1.57 | −37.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −4.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.69 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 16 | +2.99 | +45.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reggina · Home14 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.74 |
| M2 | Ascoli · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.83 |
| M3 | Cagliari · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.11 |
| M4 | Bari · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.21 |
| M5 | Venezia · Home11 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.34 |
| M6 | Como · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.27 | +1.06 |
| M7 | Genoa · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.11 |
| M8 | Frosinone · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.64 |
| M9 | Cittadella · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.68 |
| M10 | Cosenza · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.57 |
| M11 | Sudtirol · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.05 |
| M12 | Ternana · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.18 |
| M13 | Benevento · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.19 |
| M14 | Brescia · Away27 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.11 |
| M15 | Modena · Home4 Dec 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.47 |
| M16 | Perugia · Away8 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.49 |
| M17 | Palermo · Home11 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −3.95 |
| M18 | Parma · Away18 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.20 | −1.75 |
| M19 | Pisa · Home26 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.85 |
| M20 | Reggina · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.24 | −0.61 |
| M21 | Ascoli · Home21 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.87 |
| M22 | Cagliari · Away27 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.64 |
| M23 | Bari · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.81 |
| M24 | Venezia · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.82 |
| M25 | Como · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −4.12 |
| M26 | Genoa · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.66 | −4.77 |
| M27 | Frosinone · Home1 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.73 |
| M28 | Cittadella · Home5 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.02 |
| M29 | Cosenza · Away12 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −5.25 |
| M30 | Sudtirol · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.27 |
| M31 | Ternana · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −6.57 |
| M32 | Benevento · Away10 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −4.60 |
| M33 | Brescia · Home15 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −5.07 |
| M34 | Modena · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −4.95 |
| M35 | Perugia · Home30 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −5.29 |
| M36 | Palermo · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −6.17 |
| M37 | Parma · Home13 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −7.18 |
| M38 | Pisa · Away19 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.39 | −4.79 |
| Total | 38 | −4.79 | |||