Points
41Points expected by the market
46.85Gap
−5.85Yield
−35.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.73 | +23.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 26 | −3.41 | −29.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −4.16 | −59.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.73 | +23.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −5.60 | −50.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +2.19 | +15.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −4.08 | −56.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cosenza · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Modena · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.18 |
| M3 | FeralpiSalo · Home29 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.67 |
| M4 | Sudtirol · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.78 |
| M5 | Palermo · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.96 |
| M6 | Cremonese · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | −2.71 |
| M7 | Ternana · Home26 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.21 |
| M8 | Brescia · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.36 |
| M9 | Sampdoria · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.74 |
| M10 | Lecco · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.17 |
| M11 | Parma · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.35 |
| M12 | Bari · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.36 |
| M13 | Como · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.61 |
| M14 | Reggiana · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −3.75 |
| M15 | Venezia · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −4.57 |
| M16 | Spezia · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.88 |
| M17 | Catanzaro · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.27 |
| M18 | Pisa · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.25 |
| M19 | Cittadella · Home26 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −5.59 |
| M20 | Parma · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −5.34 |
| M21 | Bari · Home21 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −5.79 |
| M22 | Como · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.19 | −3.60 |
| M23 | Sudtirol · Home4 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −5.18 |
| M24 | Catanzaro · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −6.32 |
| M25 | Cremonese · Home16 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −6.41 |
| M26 | FeralpiSalo · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −4.65 |
| M27 | Brescia · Home27 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −5.30 |
| M28 | Reggiana · Home3 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −5.84 |
| M29 | Sampdoria · Away11 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.81 |
| M30 | Lecco · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −5.55 |
| M31 | Spezia · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −6.50 |
| M32 | Venezia · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.65 |
| M33 | Cittadella · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.66 |
| M34 | Modena · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −6.98 |
| M35 | Ternana · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −5.39 |
| M36 | Cosenza · Home1 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −6.92 |
| M37 | Palermo · Away5 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −6.97 |
| M38 | Pisa · Home10 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | −5.85 |
| Total | 41 | −5.85 | |||