Points
41Points expected by the market
50.41Gap
−9.41Yield
−50.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +5.06 | +44.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 16 | −10.02 | −83.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −4.45 | −63.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +5.06 | +44.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −7.63 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.39 | −60.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −4.45 | −63.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palermo · Home18 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.44 |
| M2 | Cremonese · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +1.58 |
| M3 | Cittadella · Home30 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.12 |
| M4 | Ternana · Away3 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.92 |
| M5 | Pisa · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.83 |
| M6 | Catanzaro · Home24 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.30 |
| M7 | Parma · Away27 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.67 |
| M8 | Como · Home1 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.20 |
| M9 | Reggiana · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −1.52 |
| M10 | Modena · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −2.03 |
| M11 | Brescia · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.25 |
| M12 | Ascoli · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.06 |
| M13 | FeralpiSalo · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.47 | +0.60 |
| M14 | Venezia · Home25 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.81 |
| M15 | Lecco · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.18 |
| M16 | Sudtirol · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.94 |
| M17 | Spezia · Away15 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.98 |
| M18 | Cosenza · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | −2.58 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Away26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.50 |
| M20 | Ternana · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −1.14 |
| M21 | Ascoli · Away21 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.35 |
| M22 | Reggiana · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −3.13 |
| M23 | Palermo · Away2 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.96 |
| M24 | Lecco · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −2.74 |
| M25 | FeralpiSalo · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.41 |
| M26 | Sudtirol · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.62 |
| M27 | Catanzaro · Away27 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.72 |
| M28 | Spezia · Home3 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −4.34 |
| M29 | Venezia · Away10 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −5.14 |
| M30 | Sampdoria · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −6.53 |
| M31 | Modena · Away1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −6.48 |
| M32 | Cremonese · Home5 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −7.68 |
| M33 | Como · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −8.35 |
| M34 | Pisa · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −8.81 |
| M35 | Cosenza · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −9.90 |
| M36 | Parma · Home1 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −10.00 |
| M37 | Cittadella · Away5 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −10.40 |
| M38 | Brescia · Home10 May 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −9.41 |
| Total | 41 | −9.41 | |||