Points
60Points expected by the market
51.42Gap
+8.58Yield
+24.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +2.02 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 34 | +2.43 | +4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.12 | +112.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +0.67 | +9.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +2.42 | +14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | +0.01 | −4.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 10 | +5.08 | +154.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cremonese · Away19 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.04 |
| M2 | Ternana · Home27 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.40 |
| M3 | Spezia · Home30 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.09 |
| M4 | Lecco · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.44 |
| M5 | Parma · Home17 Sep 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.94 |
| M6 | Bari · Away24 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +2.78 |
| M7 | Cittadella · Home27 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.25 |
| M8 | Sampdoria · Away1 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +4.11 |
| M9 | Sudtirol · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +5.73 |
| M10 | FeralpiSalo · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +6.79 |
| M11 | Como · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +5.64 |
| M12 | Modena · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | +4.13 |
| M13 | Venezia · Away10 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.09 |
| M14 | Cosenza · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +4.48 |
| M15 | Palermo · Away1 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +6.44 |
| M16 | Pisa · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +7.78 |
| M17 | Ascoli · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | +6.50 |
| M18 | Brescia · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.71 | +4.79 |
| M19 | Reggiana · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.58 |
| M20 | Lecco · Home12 Jan 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.70 |
| M21 | FeralpiSalo · Away20 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +3.34 |
| M22 | Palermo · Home26 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.87 |
| M23 | Spezia · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +2.75 |
| M24 | Ascoli · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.21 |
| M25 | Sudtirol · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +3.38 |
| M26 | Cittadella · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.20 |
| M27 | Bari · Home27 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +6.62 |
| M28 | Cosenza · Away3 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +8.43 |
| M29 | Reggiana · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +6.72 |
| M30 | Brescia · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +6.47 |
| M31 | Parma · Away1 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +8.68 |
| M32 | Como · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +7.45 |
| M33 | Modena · Away12 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +9.43 |
| M34 | Cremonese · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | +9.27 |
| M35 | Pisa · Away26 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +9.17 |
| M36 | Venezia · Home1 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +10.99 |
| M37 | Ternana · Away5 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +9.54 |
| M38 | Sampdoria · Home10 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +8.58 |
| Total | 60 | +8.58 | |||