Points
47Points expected by the market
46.77Gap
+0.23Yield
−10.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.82 | +34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 28 | −2.78 | −8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +1.19 | −24.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.82 | +34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 15 | −7.37 | −48.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 13 | +4.59 | +81.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 12 | +1.19 | −24.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ascoli · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.61 |
| M2 | Venezia · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.77 |
| M3 | Modena · Home29 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +0.40 |
| M4 | Brescia · Away3 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.75 |
| M5 | Sudtirol · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | −1.33 |
| M6 | Palermo · Away22 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +0.86 |
| M7 | Cremonese · Home26 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.28 |
| M8 | Pisa · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +1.72 |
| M9 | Lecco · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +2.93 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Away22 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +1.85 |
| M11 | Spezia · Away28 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.94 |
| M12 | FeralpiSalo · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.15 |
| M13 | Reggiana · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.64 |
| M14 | Catanzaro · Away26 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +1.54 |
| M15 | Ternana · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.02 |
| M16 | Cittadella · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −1.02 |
| M17 | Parma · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.21 |
| M18 | Bari · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.28 |
| M19 | Como · Home26 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −2.67 |
| M20 | Cremonese · Away14 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.35 |
| M21 | Venezia · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.50 |
| M22 | Sudtirol · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +0.27 |
| M23 | Pisa · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.17 |
| M24 | Modena · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.26 |
| M25 | Lecco · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.47 |
| M26 | Sampdoria · Home23 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.09 |
| M27 | Parma · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.33 |
| M28 | Catanzaro · Home3 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.18 |
| M29 | Cittadella · Home9 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.66 |
| M30 | Ternana · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.81 |
| M31 | Brescia · Home1 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.34 |
| M32 | FeralpiSalo · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.60 |
| M33 | Palermo · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −5.12 |
| M34 | Reggiana · Away19 Apr 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −3.33 |
| M35 | Bari · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −1.93 |
| M36 | Ascoli · Away1 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −0.07 |
| M37 | Spezia · Home5 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.31 |
| M38 | Como · Away10 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.23 |
| Total | 47 | +0.23 | |||