Points
26Points expected by the market
37.78Gap
−11.78Yield
−33.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −5.65 | −32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 16 | −6.13 | −33.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 10 | −5.65 | −32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −2.73 | −43.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 12 | −3.41 | −29.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Catanzaro · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.06 |
| M2 | Brescia · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.25 |
| M3 | Modena · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | −1.93 |
| M4 | FeralpiSalo · Home26 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −3.40 |
| M5 | Cittadella · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −4.15 |
| M6 | Cosenza · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.09 |
| M7 | Ascoli · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −6.36 |
| M8 | Pisa · Away24 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.19 | −4.17 |
| M9 | Palermo · Away29 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.47 | −1.70 |
| M10 | Reggiana · Away5 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −1.55 |
| M11 | Spezia · Home8 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −1.60 |
| M12 | Parma · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.41 |
| M13 | Cremonese · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.19 |
| M14 | Como · Away28 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.02 |
| M15 | Bari · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.70 |
| M16 | Sampdoria · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +0.82 |
| M17 | Ternana · Home17 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.59 |
| M18 | Venezia · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.33 |
| M19 | Sudtirol · Home26 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.10 |
| M20 | Catanzaro · Away12 Jan 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.24 |
| M21 | Pisa · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.07 |
| M22 | FeralpiSalo · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.15 |
| M23 | Cremonese · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −3.06 |
| M24 | Bari · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.00 |
| M25 | Cosenza · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −5.42 |
| M26 | Ternana · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | −5.47 |
| M27 | Como · Home27 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −6.54 |
| M28 | Sudtirol · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −7.58 |
| M29 | Palermo · Home10 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −8.65 |
| M30 | Ascoli · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −9.61 |
| M31 | Cittadella · Home1 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −9.79 |
| M32 | Spezia · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −9.53 |
| M33 | Reggiana · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −7.75 |
| M34 | Venezia · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.56 |
| M35 | Parma · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −9.06 |
| M36 | Sampdoria · Home1 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −9.90 |
| M37 | Brescia · Away5 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.69 | −10.59 |
| M38 | Modena · Home10 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.78 |
| Total | 26 | −11.78 | |||