Points
44Points expected by the market
54.81Gap
−10.81Yield
−44.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 19 | −5.40 | −42.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 23 | −1.46 | −28.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 18 | −4.72 | −38.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | −0.60 | −25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 15 | −0.86 | −30.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.94 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sudtirol · Away20 Aug 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.54 |
| M2 | Catanzaro · Away30 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.95 |
| M3 | Como · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −3.62 |
| M4 | Venezia · Away15 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −4.80 |
| M5 | Reggiana · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.86 | −6.67 |
| M6 | Brescia · Home26 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −7.50 |
| M7 | FeralpiSalo · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −6.07 |
| M8 | Pisa · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −6.80 |
| M9 | Palermo · Away23 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.81 |
| M10 | Cosenza · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −7.62 |
| M11 | Cremonese · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −8.61 |
| M12 | Lecco · Away8 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −9.30 |
| M13 | Ternana · Home12 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.72 | −10.01 |
| M14 | Sampdoria · Away24 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −11.15 |
| M15 | Parma · Home2 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −12.60 |
| M16 | Ascoli · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −10.97 |
| M17 | Bari · Home15 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −9.63 |
| M18 | Cittadella · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −10.60 |
| M19 | Modena · Home26 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −10.99 |
| M20 | Como · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −12.02 |
| M21 | Cremonese · Home20 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −13.14 |
| M22 | Pisa · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | −11.24 |
| M23 | Catanzaro · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −11.82 |
| M24 | Ternana · Away11 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −12.20 |
| M25 | Cittadella · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.46 | −10.74 |
| M26 | Modena · Away25 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −10.85 |
| M27 | FeralpiSalo · Home28 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −12.54 |
| M28 | Bari · Away3 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −12.62 |
| M29 | Sudtirol · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −11.28 |
| M30 | Reggiana · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −11.53 |
| M31 | Ascoli · Home1 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −10.29 |
| M32 | Lecco · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | −11.30 |
| M33 | Parma · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −12.17 |
| M34 | Sampdoria · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −12.74 |
| M35 | Brescia · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −13.10 |
| M36 | Palermo · Home1 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −11.83 |
| M37 | Cosenza · Away5 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −12.28 |
| M38 | Venezia · Home10 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −10.81 |
| Total | 44 | −10.81 | |||