Points
47Points expected by the market
43.92Gap
+3.08Yield
+7.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.62 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 21 | −2.63 | −25.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 20 | +3.09 | +29.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.62 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −3.12 | −32.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.97 | +103.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.49 | +8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 17 | +2.12 | +19.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Spezia · Home20 Aug 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.14 |
| M2 | FeralpiSalo · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.67 |
| M3 | Ascoli · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.11 |
| M4 | Cosenza · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | +3.00 |
| M5 | Ternana · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.96 |
| M6 | Modena · Home26 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | +2.60 |
| M7 | Palermo · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.76 |
| M8 | Catanzaro · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.46 |
| M9 | Cremonese · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +2.72 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.41 |
| M11 | Parma · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | +3.62 |
| M12 | Pisa · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +2.32 |
| M13 | Cittadella · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.30 |
| M14 | Brescia · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.87 |
| M15 | Como · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.27 |
| M16 | Bari · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.20 |
| M17 | Venezia · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.18 | +0.99 |
| M18 | Reggiana · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.48 |
| M19 | Lecco · Away26 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.60 |
| M20 | FeralpiSalo · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.06 |
| M21 | Brescia · Away20 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.10 |
| M22 | Cosenza · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.54 |
| M23 | Ascoli · Away4 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.39 |
| M24 | Venezia · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.82 |
| M25 | Catanzaro · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.71 |
| M26 | Bari · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.85 |
| M27 | Reggiana · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.65 |
| M28 | Lecco · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +2.00 |
| M29 | Spezia · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.00 |
| M30 | Cremonese · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.99 |
| M31 | Como · Away1 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +2.25 |
| M32 | Parma · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +2.14 |
| M33 | Sampdoria · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.20 |
| M34 | Cittadella · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +3.72 |
| M35 | Modena · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +2.79 |
| M36 | Ternana · Home1 May 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.27 | +4.06 |
| M37 | Pisa · Away5 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +4.10 |
| M38 | Palermo · Home10 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.08 |
| Total | 47 | +3.08 | |||