Points
48Points expected by the market
51.59Gap
−3.59Yield
−31.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 14 | −5.05 | −47.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 27 | +5.49 | +27.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −4.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.40 | −41.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 15 | +4.02 | +44.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.47 | +10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −3.99 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Juve Stabia · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.73 |
| M2 | Modena · Away23 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.82 |
| M3 | Sassuolo · Home27 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −3.17 |
| M4 | Sampdoria · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −3.23 |
| M5 | Mantova · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −1.97 |
| M6 | Frosinone · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.28 |
| M7 | Cosenza · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.95 |
| M8 | Cremonese · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −1.01 |
| M9 | Catanzaro · Home18 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.79 |
| M10 | Spezia · Away25 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.77 |
| M11 | Carrarese · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −2.55 |
| M12 | Reggiana · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | −3.35 |
| M13 | Salernitana · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.63 |
| M14 | Cittadella · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.47 |
| M15 | Brescia · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.82 |
| M16 | Cesena · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.76 |
| M17 | Pisa · Away13 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.18 |
| M18 | Sudtirol · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.90 |
| M19 | Palermo · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.80 |
| M20 | Spezia · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.03 |
| M21 | Reggiana · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.15 |
| M22 | Brescia · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.82 |
| M23 | Cesena · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −1.90 |
| M24 | Frosinone · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.57 |
| M25 | Juve Stabia · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.62 |
| M26 | Cremonese · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.67 |
| M27 | Mantova · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.11 |
| M28 | Sampdoria · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.35 |
| M29 | Sassuolo · Away9 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.05 |
| M30 | Salernitana · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.54 |
| M31 | Carrarese · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.78 |
| M32 | Catanzaro · Away6 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.94 |
| M33 | Palermo · Home11 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.25 |
| M34 | Modena · Home25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.76 |
| M35 | Cosenza · Away1 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.40 |
| M36 | Pisa · Home4 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.63 |
| M37 | Cittadella · Away9 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.04 |
| M38 | Sudtirol · Away13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.59 |
| Total | 48 | −3.59 | |||