Points
43Points expected by the market
47.10Gap
−4.10Yield
−20.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 24 | −3.81 | −46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 15 | +2.75 | +34.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −1.73 | −37.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.07 | −64.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 15 | +3.81 | +45.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Palermo · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.74 |
| M2 | Cittadella · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | +0.13 |
| M3 | Reggiana · Away27 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.24 |
| M4 | Sudtirol · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +0.68 |
| M5 | Frosinone · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.25 |
| M6 | Pisa · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.27 |
| M7 | Cremonese · Home30 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.09 |
| M8 | Mantova · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.70 |
| M9 | Sassuolo · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.64 |
| M10 | Cesena · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.75 |
| M11 | Spezia · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.59 |
| M12 | Sampdoria · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +2.67 |
| M13 | Cosenza · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.17 |
| M14 | Juve Stabia · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +1.12 |
| M15 | Bari · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.79 |
| M16 | Catanzaro · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.42 |
| M17 | Carrarese · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | −1.07 |
| M18 | Salernitana · Away20 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.21 |
| M19 | Modena · Home26 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.42 |
| M20 | Cremonese · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.24 |
| M21 | Sampdoria · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.49 |
| M22 | Bari · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.52 |
| M23 | Catanzaro · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.45 | −2.96 |
| M24 | Carrarese · Away2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.05 |
| M25 | Salernitana · Home7 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.38 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −2.02 |
| M27 | Sudtirol · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −2.54 |
| M28 | Palermo · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.43 |
| M29 | Cesena · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −3.81 |
| M30 | Frosinone · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.89 |
| M31 | Spezia · Away28 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | −2.64 |
| M32 | Mantova · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −4.24 |
| M33 | Cosenza · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −4.63 |
| M34 | Pisa · Home25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.76 |
| M35 | Cittadella · Away1 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −4.22 |
| M36 | Juve Stabia · Home4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.78 |
| M37 | Modena · Away9 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −4.91 |
| M38 | Reggiana · Home13 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −4.10 |
| Total | 43 | −4.10 | |||