Points
45Points expected by the market
44.63Gap
+0.37Yield
−17.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 35 | +9.14 | +43.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 10 | −7.17 | −77.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 34 | +10.76 | +60.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −7.18 | −76.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cesena · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −0.78 |
| M2 | Cremonese · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.57 |
| M3 | Sudtirol · Home27 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.25 |
| M4 | Catanzaro · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.83 |
| M5 | Sassuolo · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.93 |
| M6 | Spezia · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.83 |
| M7 | Reggiana · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −3.11 |
| M8 | Frosinone · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −1.10 |
| M9 | Mantova · Home20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.54 |
| M10 | Cittadella · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.07 |
| M11 | Bari · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.01 |
| M12 | Juve Stabia · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.44 |
| M13 | Modena · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.39 |
| M14 | Pisa · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.41 |
| M15 | Salernitana · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.67 |
| M16 | Palermo · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.21 |
| M17 | Brescia · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.16 |
| M18 | Cosenza · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.62 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Away26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +2.51 |
| M20 | Cesena · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.00 |
| M21 | Pisa · Away13 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.11 |
| M22 | Spezia · Home19 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.95 |
| M23 | Juve Stabia · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.97 |
| M24 | Brescia · Home2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.63 |
| M25 | Cosenza · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.90 |
| M26 | Salernitana · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.34 |
| M27 | Reggiana · Away22 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.33 |
| M28 | Cremonese · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.32 |
| M29 | Frosinone · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.82 |
| M30 | Sudtirol · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.91 |
| M31 | Bari · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.36 |
| M32 | Cittadella · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.71 |
| M33 | Catanzaro · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.24 |
| M34 | Sampdoria · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.43 |
| M35 | Sassuolo · Away1 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.48 |
| M36 | Modena · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.04 |
| M37 | Mantova · Away9 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +0.02 |
| M38 | Palermo · Away13 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.37 |
| Total | 45 | +0.37 | |||