Points
53Points expected by the market
47.91Gap
+5.09Yield
−13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +3.20 | +15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 23 | −0.66 | −44.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 15 | +2.55 | +14.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +3.20 | +15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.32 | −37.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −0.34 | −56.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 15 | +3.61 | +24.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sassuolo · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.14 |
| M2 | Juve Stabia · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.74 |
| M3 | Cesena · Away28 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −1.59 |
| M4 | Carrarese · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.21 |
| M5 | Cittadella · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.46 |
| M6 | Cremonese · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.79 |
| M7 | Salernitana · Away29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −1.81 |
| M8 | Modena · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.13 |
| M9 | Bari · Away18 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.06 |
| M10 | Sudtirol · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.73 |
| M11 | Pisa · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.79 |
| M12 | Frosinone · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.42 |
| M13 | Reggiana · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.51 |
| M14 | Mantova · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | −2.26 |
| M15 | Sampdoria · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.06 | −2.32 |
| M16 | Brescia · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.80 |
| M17 | Palermo · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.16 | +1.36 |
| M18 | Spezia · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.29 |
| M19 | Cosenza · Away26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.08 |
| M20 | Salernitana · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.52 |
| M21 | Sudtirol · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.36 |
| M22 | Pisa · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +1.22 |
| M23 | Brescia · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.98 |
| M24 | Cesena · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.45 |
| M25 | Frosinone · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +4.32 |
| M26 | Cittadella · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +5.50 |
| M27 | Spezia · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | +7.81 |
| M28 | Reggiana · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +7.30 |
| M29 | Cremonese · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | +6.53 |
| M30 | Cosenza · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +7.83 |
| M31 | Modena · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +6.81 |
| M32 | Bari · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.53 | +6.27 |
| M33 | Carrarese · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +6.10 |
| M34 | Palermo · Home27 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.39 | +4.71 |
| M35 | Juve Stabia · Away1 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +3.54 |
| M36 | Sampdoria · Home4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +3.14 |
| M37 | Sassuolo · Away9 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +5.11 |
| M38 | Mantova · Away13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | +5.09 |
| Total | 53 | +5.09 | |||