Points
53Points expected by the market
54.24Gap
−1.24Yield
−10.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 24 | +6.03 | +28.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 25 | −9.29 | −36.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.02 | +126.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +4.76 | +21.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.63 | −43.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.27 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 16 | −5.65 | −32.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.09 | +353.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Carrarese · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +1.05 |
| M2 | Sassuolo · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.05 |
| M3 | Catanzaro · Home28 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.06 |
| M4 | Spezia · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.19 |
| M5 | Modena · Home13 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.72 |
| M6 | Palermo · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.01 |
| M7 | Mantova · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.06 | +0.05 |
| M8 | Pisa · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.19 |
| M9 | Sampdoria · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.70 |
| M10 | Brescia · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −1.55 |
| M11 | Salernitana · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.75 |
| M12 | Sudtirol · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.44 |
| M13 | Cittadella · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.12 |
| M14 | Reggiana · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | +0.21 |
| M15 | Frosinone · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.33 |
| M16 | Bari · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.61 |
| M17 | Cosenza · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −1.34 |
| M18 | Juve Stabia · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.54 |
| M19 | Cremonese · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −3.79 |
| M20 | Carrarese · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.95 |
| M21 | Cittadella · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −5.65 |
| M22 | Sampdoria · Away17 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.82 |
| M23 | Bari · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −4.42 |
| M24 | Catanzaro · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.57 |
| M25 | Reggiana · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −3.75 |
| M26 | Pisa · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.94 |
| M27 | Cremonese · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −1.85 |
| M28 | Salernitana · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.37 |
| M29 | Brescia · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.66 |
| M30 | Spezia · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.73 |
| M31 | Juve Stabia · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −2.29 |
| M32 | Sudtirol · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.64 |
| M33 | Frosinone · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.14 |
| M34 | Sassuolo · Home25 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.38 |
| M35 | Mantova · Away1 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −5.64 |
| M36 | Palermo · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −3.97 |
| M37 | Cosenza · Away9 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −2.70 |
| M38 | Modena · Away13 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.24 |
| Total | 53 | −1.24 | |||