Points
40Points expected by the market
41.24Gap
−1.24Yield
+5.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 17 | −5.81 | −33.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 23 | +6.22 | +48.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.04 | −36.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.77 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 21 | +7.94 | +87.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Salernitana · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.19 |
| M2 | Brescia · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.73 |
| M3 | Pisa · Home27 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.67 |
| M4 | Modena · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +2.72 |
| M5 | Catanzaro · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.26 |
| M6 | Mantova · Away22 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.03 |
| M7 | Frosinone · Home27 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.41 |
| M8 | Sassuolo · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.21 |
| M9 | Cosenza · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.59 |
| M10 | Carrarese · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.75 |
| M11 | Sampdoria · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −2.97 |
| M12 | Palermo · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −0.83 |
| M13 | Cesena · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.07 |
| M14 | Bari · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.95 |
| M15 | Juve Stabia · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.27 |
| M16 | Spezia · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.00 |
| M17 | Cremonese · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.96 |
| M18 | Reggiana · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.26 |
| M19 | Sudtirol · Away26 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −0.36 |
| M20 | Palermo · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.41 |
| M21 | Cesena · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.42 |
| M22 | Mantova · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.23 |
| M23 | Cosenza · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.58 |
| M24 | Spezia · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.72 |
| M25 | Pisa · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +2.97 |
| M26 | Catanzaro · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +2.09 |
| M27 | Modena · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.92 |
| M28 | Juve Stabia · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +3.14 |
| M29 | Sudtirol · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.86 |
| M30 | Sassuolo · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +1.02 |
| M31 | Cremonese · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.50 | +1.52 |
| M32 | Carrarese · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.18 |
| M33 | Sampdoria · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +0.35 |
| M34 | Reggiana · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.70 |
| M35 | Brescia · Home1 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.93 |
| M36 | Frosinone · Away4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.80 |
| M37 | Bari · Home9 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.09 |
| M38 | Salernitana · Home13 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.24 |
| Total | 40 | −1.24 | |||