Points
34Points expected by the market
43.99Gap
−9.99Yield
−42.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.76 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 22 | −1.64 | −15.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 11 | −7.59 | −62.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.76 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 15 | −3.80 | −41.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +0.90 | +51.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +2.16 | +67.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −8.49 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cremonese · Home18 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +2.01 |
| M2 | Mantova · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.80 |
| M3 | Spezia · Home28 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.40 |
| M4 | Palermo · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.41 |
| M5 | Sampdoria · Home15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.90 |
| M6 | Sassuolo · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Bari · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.56 |
| M8 | Sudtirol · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −0.96 |
| M9 | Cittadella · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.26 |
| M10 | Juve Stabia · Home26 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.81 |
| M11 | Reggiana · Away29 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.04 |
| M12 | Salernitana · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.45 |
| M13 | Brescia · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.38 |
| M14 | Modena · Home22 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.00 |
| M15 | Pisa · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.01 |
| M16 | Frosinone · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −0.60 |
| M17 | Cesena · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.58 |
| M18 | Carrarese · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.70 |
| M19 | Catanzaro · Home26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.17 |
| M20 | Sassuolo · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −3.81 |
| M21 | Mantova · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −4.57 |
| M22 | Cremonese · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −5.30 |
| M23 | Cittadella · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −6.79 |
| M24 | Sampdoria · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −7.87 |
| M25 | Carrarese · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −6.26 |
| M26 | Juve Stabia · Away16 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −7.28 |
| M27 | Palermo · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −8.39 |
| M28 | Modena · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −8.22 |
| M29 | Reggiana · Home7 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −6.60 |
| M30 | Catanzaro · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.60 |
| M31 | Pisa · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −8.55 |
| M32 | Frosinone · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −8.49 |
| M33 | Brescia · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −8.79 |
| M34 | Salernitana · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −9.63 |
| M35 | Bari · Home1 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −7.70 |
| M36 | Sudtirol · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −8.54 |
| M37 | Cesena · Home9 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.52 |
| M38 | Spezia · Away13 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −9.99 |
| Total | 34 | −9.99 | |||