Points
61Points expected by the market
64.16Gap
−3.16Yield
−10.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 26 | 38 | −8.60 | −39.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 22 | +6.75 | +66.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 28 | −5.13 | −36.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −3.47 | −47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 22 | +6.75 | +66.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cosenza · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.73 |
| M2 | Carrarese · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −0.68 |
| M3 | Palermo · Home27 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −2.40 |
| M4 | Sassuolo · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.73 |
| M5 | Spezia · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.39 |
| M6 | Catanzaro · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.23 |
| M7 | Brescia · Away30 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.26 |
| M8 | Bari · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.92 |
| M9 | Juve Stabia · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.43 |
| M10 | Salernitana · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.70 |
| M11 | Modena · Away29 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.34 |
| M12 | Pisa · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.30 |
| M13 | Mantova · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −3.03 |
| M14 | Frosinone · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −2.00 |
| M15 | Sudtirol · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.66 |
| M16 | Reggiana · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −2.55 |
| M17 | Cittadella · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.30 |
| M18 | Sampdoria · Home22 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −4.12 |
| M19 | Cesena · Away26 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −2.55 |
| M20 | Brescia · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −3.48 |
| M21 | Frosinone · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −1.97 |
| M22 | Cosenza · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.99 |
| M23 | Modena · Home26 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.66 |
| M24 | Salernitana · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.15 |
| M25 | Sudtirol · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −2.09 |
| M26 | Bari · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.74 |
| M27 | Cesena · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −4.54 |
| M28 | Carrarese · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −5.24 |
| M29 | Catanzaro · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −4.20 |
| M30 | Palermo · Away14 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | −2.51 |
| M31 | Cittadella · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.31 | −3.82 |
| M32 | Reggiana · Away4 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −2.46 |
| M33 | Juve Stabia · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −3.45 |
| M34 | Mantova · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.93 | −2.52 |
| M35 | Sampdoria · Away1 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −3.13 |
| M36 | Sassuolo · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.70 |
| M37 | Spezia · Away9 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.96 |
| M38 | Pisa · Away13 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.16 |
| Total | 61 | −3.16 | |||