Points
43Points expected by the market
48.34Gap
−5.34Yield
−29.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.94 | −39.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −1.73 | −25.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | −0.66 | −30.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 6 | −4.30 | −64.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.03 | −27.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.36 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −1.71 | −22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +0.29 | −16.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sampdoria · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.27 |
| M2 | Spezia · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.39 |
| M3 | Modena · Home27 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.83 |
| M4 | Juve Stabia · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.55 |
| M5 | Brescia · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −3.82 |
| M6 | Bari · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.22 |
| M7 | Cittadella · Away27 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.49 |
| M8 | Carrarese · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −5.22 |
| M9 | Reggiana · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −6.48 |
| M10 | Pisa · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −6.71 |
| M11 | Sudtirol · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −6.94 |
| M12 | Catanzaro · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −7.00 |
| M13 | Palermo · Home8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −7.24 |
| M14 | Cremonese · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.77 | −8.01 |
| M15 | Cesena · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | −6.15 |
| M16 | Cosenza · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −4.22 |
| M17 | Sassuolo · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −5.12 |
| M18 | Mantova · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −6.33 |
| M19 | Salernitana · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −4.87 |
| M20 | Juve Stabia · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.96 |
| M21 | Cremonese · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −6.14 |
| M22 | Modena · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −6.15 |
| M23 | Sudtirol · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.76 |
| M24 | Bari · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −8.77 |
| M25 | Catanzaro · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −9.32 |
| M26 | Reggiana · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −9.78 |
| M27 | Salernitana · Away23 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −9.86 |
| M28 | Mantova · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −8.49 |
| M29 | Carrarese · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −6.67 |
| M30 | Brescia · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −5.25 |
| M31 | Sampdoria · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −3.16 |
| M32 | Cosenza · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | −3.93 |
| M33 | Cesena · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −4.11 |
| M34 | Spezia · Home25 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.16 |
| M35 | Pisa · Away1 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.90 |
| M36 | Cittadella · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −5.73 |
| M37 | Palermo · Away9 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.70 |
| M38 | Sassuolo · Away13 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −5.34 |
| Total | 43 | −5.34 | |||