Points
55Points expected by the market
48.18Gap
+6.82Yield
+4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.74 | +39.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 29 | +1.34 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 13 | +2.74 | +15.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.74 | +39.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 21 | +2.98 | +15.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −1.64 | −57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 13 | +2.74 | +15.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bari · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +2.02 |
| M2 | Catanzaro · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | +1.92 |
| M3 | Mantova · Home28 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +3.53 |
| M4 | Frosinone · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | +3.54 |
| M5 | Palermo · Home14 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | +2.27 |
| M6 | Modena · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.36 |
| M7 | Pisa · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.11 |
| M8 | Sampdoria · Away4 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +5.26 |
| M9 | Cremonese · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +4.07 |
| M10 | Cosenza · Away26 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | +3.93 |
| M11 | Sassuolo · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | +3.72 |
| M12 | Carrarese · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +3.47 |
| M13 | Spezia · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +2.15 |
| M14 | Brescia · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +1.49 |
| M15 | Cittadella · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +1.13 |
| M16 | Sudtirol · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.44 |
| M17 | Salernitana · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +4.30 |
| M18 | Cesena · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.84 |
| M19 | Reggiana · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +4.63 |
| M20 | Frosinone · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +4.05 |
| M21 | Spezia · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +4.13 |
| M22 | Palermo · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.16 |
| M23 | Carrarese · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.44 |
| M24 | Sassuolo · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.65 |
| M25 | Bari · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.04 |
| M26 | Cosenza · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +6.37 |
| M27 | Pisa · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +5.50 |
| M28 | Cittadella · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.92 | +3.59 |
| M29 | Mantova · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +3.34 |
| M30 | Modena · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +4.88 |
| M31 | Cesena · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +6.78 |
| M32 | Salernitana · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +8.17 |
| M33 | Cremonese · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +8.40 |
| M34 | Sudtirol · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +7.22 |
| M35 | Catanzaro · Home1 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +8.68 |
| M36 | Brescia · Away4 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +8.58 |
| M37 | Reggiana · Home9 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +7.04 |
| M38 | Sampdoria · Home13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +6.82 |
| Total | 55 | +6.82 | |||