Points
44Points expected by the market
43.42Gap
+0.58Yield
−27.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.63 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 27 | +5.04 | +11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 13 | −5.10 | −61.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.63 | +2.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +5.17 | +19.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | −0.06 | −21.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.13 | −15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −5.04 | −74.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Reggiana · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.44 |
| M2 | Cosenza · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.06 |
| M3 | Juve Stabia · Away28 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.24 |
| M4 | Salernitana · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.27 |
| M5 | Bari · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | +0.29 |
| M6 | Cittadella · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.84 |
| M7 | Cesena · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.80 | +1.03 |
| M8 | Brescia · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.73 |
| M9 | Carrarese · Away20 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.46 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.34 |
| M11 | Palermo · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.33 |
| M12 | Sassuolo · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | −1.02 |
| M13 | Cremonese · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.99 |
| M14 | Catanzaro · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +1.02 |
| M15 | Modena · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.80 |
| M16 | Pisa · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.28 |
| M17 | Sudtirol · Away14 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.34 |
| M18 | Frosinone · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +1.19 |
| M19 | Spezia · Away26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | +1.52 |
| M20 | Reggiana · Home29 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.28 |
| M21 | Cosenza · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.33 |
| M22 | Cittadella · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +2.28 |
| M23 | Sampdoria · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.93 |
| M24 | Modena · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.02 |
| M25 | Sassuolo · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.01 |
| M26 | Palermo · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.26 |
| M27 | Bari · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.20 |
| M28 | Frosinone · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.24 |
| M29 | Juve Stabia · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.67 |
| M30 | Pisa · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.68 | −3.35 |
| M31 | Sudtirol · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.82 |
| M32 | Brescia · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.06 |
| M33 | Spezia · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.09 |
| M34 | Cremonese · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.62 |
| M35 | Cesena · Home1 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.93 |
| M36 | Salernitana · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.05 |
| M37 | Carrarese · Home9 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.27 |
| M38 | Catanzaro · Home13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.58 |
| Total | 44 | +0.58 | |||