Points
45Points expected by the market
53.01Gap
−8.01Yield
−34.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −0.06 | −9.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 21 | −7.79 | −50.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | −0.15 | −15.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −0.06 | −9.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 6 | −3.49 | −64.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.09 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −4.30 | −44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | −0.06 | +5.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sudtirol · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.20 |
| M2 | Bari · Home23 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.20 |
| M3 | Frosinone · Away27 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.06 |
| M4 | Cittadella · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.81 |
| M5 | Cesena · Away13 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.95 |
| M6 | Juve Stabia · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.74 |
| M7 | Sampdoria · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −2.13 |
| M8 | Catanzaro · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.47 |
| M9 | Palermo · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −2.95 |
| M10 | Sassuolo · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.98 |
| M11 | Cremonese · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | −4.31 |
| M12 | Spezia · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.47 |
| M13 | Carrarese · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −4.21 |
| M14 | Cosenza · Away22 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.50 |
| M15 | Mantova · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −4.96 |
| M16 | Salernitana · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −5.69 |
| M17 | Reggiana · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −4.05 |
| M18 | Pisa · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.50 |
| M19 | Brescia · Away26 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.45 | −2.95 |
| M20 | Sudtirol · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.64 |
| M21 | Palermo · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.70 |
| M22 | Frosinone · Home18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −5.39 |
| M23 | Cremonese · Away26 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −5.41 |
| M24 | Mantova · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.22 |
| M25 | Sampdoria · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −5.53 |
| M26 | Spezia · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −5.62 |
| M27 | Cittadella · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −4.11 |
| M28 | Cosenza · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −4.99 |
| M29 | Salernitana · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.23 |
| M30 | Juve Stabia · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.45 |
| M31 | Catanzaro · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −6.13 |
| M32 | Pisa · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | −4.08 |
| M33 | Sassuolo · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.23 |
| M34 | Bari · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.41 |
| M35 | Reggiana · Home1 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −5.11 |
| M36 | Carrarese · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.30 |
| M37 | Brescia · Home9 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | −6.85 |
| M38 | Cesena · Home13 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −8.01 |
| Total | 45 | −8.01 | |||