Points
52Points expected by the market
57.60Gap
−5.60Yield
−11.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 22 | −3.16 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 25 | −1.38 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.09 | −3.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 21 | −2.42 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | −0.16 | +4.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.74 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −1.23 | −6.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.09 | −3.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brescia · Away16 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.44 |
| M2 | Pisa · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.52 |
| M3 | Cremonese · Away27 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.53 |
| M4 | Cosenza · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −1.26 |
| M5 | Juve Stabia · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.31 |
| M6 | Cesena · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.11 |
| M7 | Sudtirol · Away30 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.62 |
| M8 | Salernitana · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.07 |
| M9 | Modena · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.28 |
| M10 | Reggiana · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.94 |
| M11 | Mantova · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.20 |
| M12 | Cittadella · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −1.67 |
| M13 | Frosinone · Away8 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.13 |
| M14 | Sampdoria · Home24 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −2.82 |
| M15 | Spezia · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.34 |
| M16 | Carrarese · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.91 |
| M17 | Catanzaro · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −4.82 |
| M18 | Sassuolo · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −5.71 |
| M19 | Bari · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −4.54 |
| M20 | Cittadella · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.98 |
| M21 | Modena · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −4.61 |
| M22 | Juve Stabia · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −3.34 |
| M23 | Reggiana · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −4.58 |
| M24 | Pisa · Home31 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −6.15 |
| M25 | Spezia · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −6.07 |
| M26 | Mantova · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.00 | −7.07 |
| M27 | Cosenza · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −5.65 |
| M28 | Brescia · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −4.48 |
| M29 | Sampdoria · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −4.66 |
| M30 | Cremonese · Home14 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −6.04 |
| M31 | Salernitana · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.37 |
| M32 | Sassuolo · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.73 | −2.64 |
| M33 | Bari · Away11 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −4.04 |
| M34 | Catanzaro · Away27 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.36 |
| M35 | Sudtirol · Home1 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | −4.34 |
| M36 | Cesena · Away4 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −5.70 |
| M37 | Frosinone · Home9 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −4.45 |
| M38 | Carrarese · Home13 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | −5.60 |
| Total | 52 | −5.60 | |||