Points
74Points expected by the market
58.69Gap
+15.31Yield
+33.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 42 | +10.27 | +38.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 26 | +3.15 | +14.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +1.90 | +84.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 32 | +6.89 | +34.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +3.75 | +52.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.38 | +55.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | −0.60 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +1.90 | +84.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Spezia · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.51 |
| M2 | Palermo · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +0.87 |
| M3 | Cittadella · Away27 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.24 |
| M4 | Reggiana · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.40 |
| M5 | Salernitana · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.98 |
| M6 | Brescia · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +4.25 |
| M7 | Juve Stabia · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +2.81 |
| M8 | Cesena · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.36 |
| M9 | Sudtirol · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +6.15 |
| M10 | Frosinone · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.71 |
| M11 | Catanzaro · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +5.08 |
| M12 | Cremonese · Away3 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.95 | +7.02 |
| M13 | Sampdoria · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +8.37 |
| M14 | Carrarese · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +6.89 |
| M15 | Cosenza · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +6.19 |
| M16 | Mantova · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +7.56 |
| M17 | Bari · Home13 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +8.81 |
| M18 | Modena · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +7.60 |
| M19 | Sassuolo · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +9.34 |
| M20 | Sampdoria · Away29 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +10.96 |
| M21 | Carrarese · Home13 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +12.14 |
| M22 | Catanzaro · Away19 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +11.59 |
| M23 | Salernitana · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +12.88 |
| M24 | Palermo · Away31 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +14.78 |
| M25 | Cittadella · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.99 | +12.79 |
| M26 | Cesena · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +12.31 |
| M27 | Juve Stabia · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +13.48 |
| M28 | Sassuolo · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | +12.41 |
| M29 | Spezia · Away9 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +11.53 |
| M30 | Mantova · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +12.46 |
| M31 | Cosenza · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +13.70 |
| M32 | Modena · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | +11.94 |
| M33 | Reggiana · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +13.33 |
| M34 | Brescia · Away25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +14.76 |
| M35 | Frosinone · Home1 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +15.78 |
| M36 | Bari · Away4 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +14.35 |
| M37 | Sudtirol · Home9 May 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.51 | +13.84 |
| M38 | Cremonese · Home13 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +15.31 |
| Total | 74 | +15.31 | |||