Points
44Points expected by the market
46.23Gap
−2.23Yield
−4.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.66 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 26 | −4.12 | −25.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 14 | +1.23 | +26.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.66 | +3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 20 | +0.20 | −0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.93 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −4.32 | −68.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 14 | +4.16 | +61.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Mantova · Home18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.26 |
| M2 | Sampdoria · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | +1.95 |
| M3 | Brescia · Home27 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.64 |
| M4 | Pisa · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.75 |
| M5 | Sudtirol · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +1.30 |
| M6 | Salernitana · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.78 |
| M7 | Carrarese · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +0.38 |
| M8 | Spezia · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.65 |
| M9 | Frosinone · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.92 |
| M10 | Palermo · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.02 |
| M11 | Cosenza · Home29 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.55 |
| M12 | Bari · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −1.47 |
| M13 | Catanzaro · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −2.06 |
| M14 | Cesena · Away23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.88 |
| M15 | Sassuolo · Home29 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.65 |
| M16 | Cremonese · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.15 | −0.51 |
| M17 | Modena · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.82 |
| M18 | Cittadella · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.19 |
| M19 | Juve Stabia · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.62 |
| M20 | Mantova · Away29 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.06 |
| M21 | Bari · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.62 |
| M22 | Salernitana · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.79 |
| M23 | Palermo · Home26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.22 |
| M24 | Sudtirol · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.48 |
| M25 | Cesena · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.97 |
| M26 | Frosinone · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.17 |
| M27 | Carrarese · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.85 |
| M28 | Catanzaro · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −4.04 |
| M29 | Cosenza · Away7 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.33 |
| M30 | Sampdoria · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −5.68 |
| M31 | Sassuolo · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −6.58 |
| M32 | Cremonese · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −7.64 |
| M33 | Pisa · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −8.73 |
| M34 | Cittadella · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −7.39 |
| M35 | Modena · Away1 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.00 | −5.39 |
| M36 | Spezia · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −3.51 |
| M37 | Juve Stabia · Away9 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −1.63 |
| M38 | Brescia · Away13 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.23 |
| Total | 44 | −2.23 | |||