Points
42Points expected by the market
49.64Gap
−7.64Yield
−29.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.75 | +30.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 24 | −6.75 | −34.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −4.64 | −58.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.75 | +30.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | −0.20 | +6.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −6.55 | −79.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −3.66 | −53.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cittadella · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | Sudtirol · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.36 |
| M3 | Sampdoria · Home27 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.93 |
| M4 | Mantova · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.70 |
| M5 | Pisa · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.58 |
| M6 | Reggiana · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.76 |
| M7 | Catanzaro · Home29 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −1.46 |
| M8 | Palermo · Away6 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +0.51 |
| M9 | Spezia · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.92 |
| M10 | Cremonese · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.79 |
| M11 | Cesena · Home29 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −2.29 |
| M12 | Cosenza · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.49 |
| M13 | Bari · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −3.90 |
| M14 | Sassuolo · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.68 |
| M15 | Carrarese · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.29 |
| M16 | Modena · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.26 |
| M17 | Juve Stabia · Home15 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −4.81 |
| M18 | Brescia · Home20 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −5.37 |
| M19 | Frosinone · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.52 |
| M20 | Catanzaro · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −7.65 |
| M21 | Sassuolo · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −8.63 |
| M22 | Reggiana · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −7.15 |
| M23 | Pisa · Away26 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −8.13 |
| M24 | Cremonese · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −6.34 |
| M25 | Brescia · Away7 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −6.69 |
| M26 | Carrarese · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −7.91 |
| M27 | Frosinone · Home23 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −8.52 |
| M28 | Cesena · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −9.67 |
| M29 | Modena · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −8.11 |
| M30 | Bari · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −8.30 |
| M31 | Palermo · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −9.67 |
| M32 | Juve Stabia · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −10.74 |
| M33 | Sudtirol · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −9.44 |
| M34 | Cosenza · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | −8.34 |
| M35 | Spezia · Away1 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −9.17 |
| M36 | Mantova · Home4 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −7.91 |
| M37 | Sampdoria · Away9 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −9.11 |
| M38 | Cittadella · Away13 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −7.64 |
| Total | 42 | −7.64 | |||