Points
41Points expected by the market
53.36Gap
−12.36Yield
−50.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.88 | −24.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 25 | −5.83 | −51.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −3.88 | −24.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.23 | −43.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.60 | −56.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.66 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Frosinone · Away18 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.43 |
| M2 | Reggiana · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.95 | −2.38 |
| M3 | Salernitana · Away27 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.66 |
| M4 | Bari · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −4.30 |
| M5 | Cosenza · Away15 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.48 |
| M6 | Sudtirol · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −4.20 |
| M7 | Modena · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −2.50 |
| M8 | Juve Stabia · Home4 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.86 | −4.36 |
| M9 | Cesena · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.53 |
| M10 | Mantova · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.06 | −1.47 |
| M11 | Cittadella · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.94 |
| M12 | Brescia · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −3.75 |
| M13 | Pisa · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −4.79 |
| M14 | Palermo · Away24 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −4.81 |
| M15 | Catanzaro · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.65 | −5.45 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.26 |
| M17 | Spezia · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −6.49 |
| M18 | Cremonese · Away22 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −6.39 |
| M19 | Carrarese · Home26 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −6.97 |
| M20 | Pisa · Home29 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −8.27 |
| M21 | Brescia · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −8.71 |
| M22 | Cesena · Home17 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −10.21 |
| M23 | Mantova · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −10.56 |
| M24 | Cosenza · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −9.17 |
| M25 | Modena · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −7.53 |
| M26 | Sudtirol · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −8.87 |
| M27 | Sassuolo · Home21 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −9.01 |
| M28 | Bari · Away2 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −9.22 |
| M29 | Palermo · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −9.73 |
| M30 | Reggiana · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −10.05 |
| M31 | Frosinone · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −11.84 |
| M32 | Spezia · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −12.74 |
| M33 | Cittadella · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −11.64 |
| M34 | Carrarese · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −12.99 |
| M35 | Cremonese · Home1 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −13.10 |
| M36 | Catanzaro · Away4 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −13.40 |
| M37 | Salernitana · Home9 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −11.90 |
| M38 | Juve Stabia · Away13 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −12.36 |
| Total | 41 | −12.36 | |||